The record
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- Bond markets worldwide are under pressure from three main factors: the US-Iran conflict pushing Brent crude to around $95 a barrel and raising inflation fears, heavy government borrowing with US national debt at $40 trillion and net interest costs already exceeding defence spending this fiscal year, and large-scale AI infrastructure spending by companies like Alphabet, Amazon and Meta financed through bonds.
- Higher yields can raise mortgage, consumer-loan and corporate borrowing rates.
- The US Treasury's move to double buybacks failed to calm markets, with analysts saying only a change in the debt trajectory can help.
What to watch next
- Whether the Federal Reserve acts against inflation, which analysts say could cool Treasury yields
- Direction of oil prices amid the US-Iran conflict, given their impact on inflation expectations
- Whether the US and other governments change the trajectory of their debt, as JP Morgan's Kelly says markets cannot be calmed otherwise
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Named United States · Iran · United Kingdom · Japan · Alphabet · Amazon · Art Hogan · B. Riley Wealth Management · Business Insider · Federal Reserve · JP Morgan · Kelly · Meta
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