The record
Written from the 1 report below. Nothing here is unsourced.
- Consultancy Verisk Maplecroft has warned that El Niño-driven weather extremes and the war in Iran are heightening food security risks across Asia.
- The war in Iran has disrupted supplies of fuel and fertilizer, both key inputs for agriculture.
- Indonesia is battling wildfires that have hit palm oil harvests, India's monsoon rains are 15% below normal, and Thailand's sugar harvest is set to fall.
- More than half the countries at high risk on Verisk Maplecroft's Food Security Index also rank in the top two categories of its Civil Unrest Index, including India, Bangladesh, the Philippines and Indonesia.
- Food inflation is an established trigger for civil unrest, and countries like Afghanistan and Myanmar face humanitarian catastrophe if a food shock hits.
What to watch next
- Whether food price and availability pressures intensify in India, Indonesia, Bangladesh and the Philippines.
- How effectively governments in higher-risk markets respond to food inflation.
- Progress of India's monsoon rains and Indonesia's wildfires ahead of coming harvests.
Who said what2
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Verisk Maplecroft
consultancy
2 quotes · 1 outlet
“The data suggest if food price and availability pressures intensify, and governments are seen to respond ineffectively, unrest and political instability could emerge in these higher-risk markets”
In the article
…Index also sit within the two highest categories of its predictive Civil Unrest Index. Those include India, as well as Bangladesh, the Philippines and Indonesia, where protests have already broken out in recent weeks. “ The data suggest if food price and availability pressures intensify, and governments are seen to respond ineffectively, unrest and political instability could emerge in these higher-risk markets ,” the report said. For conflict-stricken nations like Afghanistan and Myanmar, a food shock would raise the risk of a humanitarian catastrophe, it added. Thailand, highly reliant on imported energy and fertilizers, is…
“In many key agriculture regions, planting and fertilization decisions were made during the peak of the disruption, meaning negative impacts may now be locked in even if the geopolitical situation improves in the coming months.”
In the article
…Thailand, highly reliant on imported energy and fertilizers, is also under growing pressure from debt-laden farmers ahead of the next planting season. “The impacts are increasingly visible,” said Verisk Maplecroft. “ In many key agriculture regions, planting and fertilization decisions were made during the peak of the disruption, meaning negative impacts may now be locked in even if the geopolitical situation improves in the coming months. ” This article was generated from an automated news agency feed without modifications to text.…
Coverage1
All filed from India
Named India · Indonesia · Philippines · Thailand · Bangladesh · Afghanistan · Myanmar (Burma) · Iran · Myanmar · Verisk Maplecroft
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