The record
Written from the 1 report below. Nothing here is unsourced.
- Scientists say a super El Nino could develop that may be the strongest in 150 years, based on climate models from Berkeley Earth in which about 90 percent predict record tropical Pacific warming.
- Sea surface temperatures could rise up to 3.6 degrees Celsius above normal, exceeding the 2.75-degree margin recorded in 2015-16.
- Combined with global warming, this could push global average temperatures to new records and increase heatwaves, droughts, and heavy rain in several countries.
- In India, El Nino often affects the monsoon and may bring lower rainfall, though experts note the monsoon depends on many other factors.
What to watch next
- Upcoming months' sea surface temperature and weather data, which the report says will clarify whether the forecast holds
- Whether the tropical Pacific temperature rise exceeds the 2015-16 record of 2.75 degrees Celsius
- Impact on India's monsoon rainfall in the coming season
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Indian-language1
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Named United States · India · South Korea · Berkeley Earth · Pacific Ocean
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